Cast 28 June 2022 at 5:30pm
Context
Nicola Sturgeon proposed another independence referendum for Scotland in with a planned date of 23rd October 2023. This is dependent on either approval from the government at Westminster or, if that is not granted, a high court ruling that it can be performed without approval. The English government has said it will consider, but ‘now is not the time’ for another referendum.
Note that the Westminster has good reason not to want a split – North Sea resources, the presence of the Trident missile system in Scotland and so on.
Significators
While Scotland is a part of the UK, as far as this referendum is concerned it has to be treated as a different country. Foreign places are a House 9 matter, making Scotland Lord 9 – ☽ 2° ♋︎ 16′ in House 8, which is their own turned House 12.
As the chart was cast in England, the remainder of the UK is ‘us’, so represented by House 1 and Lord 1 ♂25° ♈︎ 21′ in House 5.
Each significator is in its domicile – ‘in the right’, with ☽ having recently entered the stronger position, and ♂ on the verge of leaving domicile to enter into detriment in ♉︎. Of the two of them, ♂ is in slightly better accidental dignity, so is more able to act. It is afflicted by having ☋ just inside the cusp as well as a recent square aspect to ♄. Scotland’s significator is combust and applying which debilitates it further.
Notably the first cusp of England’s house is directly in opposition to ♅, the ‘sunderer’ which is a good description of a nation not desiring a split.
Reception
As this is likely to be an emotionally-charged situation, it’s useful to look at receptions to see attitudes emerging. Scotland’s ☽ is in the fall of ♂, meaning it has a fairly strong dislike of England’s rule. However, it is also in ♂ triplicity. A strong negative and middling positive attitude suggests a split in opinion among the population – favouring leaving with a good portion wanting to stay as well.
Aspects
There are no applying aspects between Scotland’s ☽ and ♂, as ☽ runs into ♃ while applying to conjunct ☉ – a ‘pass not’. This is multiple prohibitions to any significant change for Scotland.
The ☽□♃ occurs in 5° 06′ of arc and . In context, months makes sense – five months, give or take, from the casting of the chart until Scotland finds out the fate of their case. ♃ might be anything, but as natural significator of the law, judges and so on and the likelihood of the case ending up in court, it could be a court judgment.
♃☌☉ occurs in 5° 02′, giving a similar verdict, particularly as ☉ is also an indicator of rulers and law.
Verdict
Scotland will not achieve independence in this attempt, with the outcome in around 5 months from the chart.
Result
On 23 November 2022, 4 months 3 weeks since the chart was cast, Scotland (having been rebuffed by several Tory leaders), lost their case in the Supreme Court and were not granted any rights to a new referendum outside the previously determined rules – that Westminster must consent.